Reducing BOJ’s Independence Won’t Help Overcome Deflation, DPJ Member Says - Bloomberg
Japanese politicians need to find ways to boost economic growth and can’t count on legislation that would reduce the Bank of Japan’s independence to cure deflation, a ruling Democratic Party of Japan lawmaker said.
“We can’t expect Japan’s economy to overcome its difficulties just because the law is revised — the issues aren’t so simple,” Shinichiro Furumoto, 45, chairman of the DPJ’s fiscal and finance policy panel, said in an interview on Nov. 26 in Tokyo. “Just implementing quantitative easing and churning out yen won’t spur demand.”
Some ruling and opposition lawmakers want to revise the BOJ law to force the central bank to adopt an inflation target to help conquer more than a decade of falling prices. Furumoto’s comments signal DPJ lawmakers calling for the change may have difficulty convincing party members that shape economic policy.
Discussions on how much influence the government should have over monetary policy must be conducted “carefully” and people need to take into account that the central bank’s independence is guaranteed under the current law, said Furumoto, whose panel is in charge of making fiscal-policy recommendations to the government.
Some 150 DPJ lawmakers, who call themselves the anti- deflation league, said last week the BOJ should adopt an inflation target to eradicate price declines and bolster employment. Opposition group Your Party this month submitted a bill to the diet calling for a revision to the law.
Tax Incentives
The government needs to boost personal consumption through subsidies and tax incentives that are similar to recent stimulus programs that have promoted purchases of energy-efficient cars and electronic goods, Furumoto said.
The DPJ lawmaker said bolstering consumption “will create the demand for money” and it is “only with such demand that the policy of printing money will become effective.”
BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa said today that increasing growth expectations among companies and consumers and reviving demand are crucial in trying to overcome deflation.
Japanese companies have 164 trillion yen ($1.95 trillion) in cash on hand because they haven’t found attractive investment options, he said in a speech in Nagoya, central Japan.
The ruling party is considering increasing inheritance taxes while lowering gift levies to encourage older generations to pass on wealth to younger people who have more incentives to buy cars, houses and goods, Furumoto said.
Despite increased calls by politicians for a revision of the BOJ law, Prime Minister Naoto Kan and Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda haven’t openly discussed the need to overhaul the central bank’s policy goals.
Government Views
Furumoto, who has also served as a parliamentary secretary at the Finance Ministry, said government views on the economy have been reflected in BOJ policy because Kan and Noda have been in close contact with central bank officials.
“Some argue the BOJ is doing whatever it wants because it is protected by its independence,” Furumoto said. “But that would imply the prime minister and the finance minister haven’t played any role in policy, and I disagree with the view.”
Furumoto also said the BOJ is already adopting a price framework similar to inflation targeting, with its board members saying they consider price rises of around 1 percent as stable. The bank last month pledged to maintain a “virtually zero-rate policy” until an outlook emerges for sustained price increases.
Governments of countries such as the U.K. and New Zealand set inflation targets for central banks, and the banks decide themselves the policy steps needed to meet those goals. The Bank of England’s governor needs to write a letter of explanation to the Treasury if inflation fails to stay within the limits.
The 1998 Bank of Japan Law strengthened the bank’s independence by ending the government’s authority to dismiss the governor and deputy chiefs and its right over supervising BOJ operations. It states the bank should strive to achieve “price stability, thereby contributing to the sound development of the national economy.”
Furumoto said the law can be interpreted as making it part of the BOJ’s mandate to support employment even though it does not explicitly say so because policies to stabilize prices can also create jobs.